MBI MBI
$4.42 · scored 02:21 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.9 composite
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 19% today
4,126 contracts · quality 64 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.5 pts
2,711 calls · 65.7% 1,415 puts
bias +31.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.4 pts
19,730 call OI · 62.3% 11,917 put OI
bias +24.7 × 0.38
Equals
+28.9
67% of the score comes from today’s volume, 33% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MBI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (81th pct) · quality 64 · 4,126 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MBI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.42 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16,369).
21 Oct · 4h
$4.42 → $4.42
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MBI
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +29
+19.5 volume · 66% calls+9.4 OI · 62% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (81th pct) · quality 64 · 4,126 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MBI
What traded today · 62%
+19.5 pts
2,711 calls · 1,415 puts · bias +31.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.4 pts
19,730 call OI · 11,917 put OI · bias +24.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$4.42 → $4.42
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MBI
Not enough tape history on MBI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MBI record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?