MC MC
$54.27 · scored 07:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 51/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 51/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.7 composite
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 45% today
369 contracts · quality 61 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−19.7 pts
126 calls · 34.1% 243 puts
bias −31.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−32.1 pts
5 call OI · 7.8% 59 put OI
bias −84.4 × 0.38
Equals
−51.7
38% of the score comes from today’s volume, 62% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 51 (55th pct) · quality 61 · 369 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $54.27 highlighted. The $65 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 25). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MC
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.7 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −52
−19.7 volume · 34% calls−32.1 OI · 8% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 51 (55th pct) · quality 61 · 369 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MC
What traded today · 62%
−19.7 pts
126 calls · 243 puts · bias −31.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−32.1 pts
5 call OI · 59 put OI · bias −84.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MC
Not enough tape history on MC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MC record what it is? What’s the $65 wall?