MCHB MCHB
$14.24 · scored 08:29 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+60.7 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 72% today
159 contracts · quality 51 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=80,022
What traded today · weight 62%
+55.8 pts
151 calls · 95.0% 8 puts
bias +89.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.0 pts
13 call OI · 56.5% 10 put OI
bias +13.0 × 0.38
Equals
+60.7
92% of the score comes from today’s volume, 8% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MCHB today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (28th pct) · quality 51 · 159 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=80,022
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MCHB
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $14.24 highlighted. The $14 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MCHB Proof We haven’t checked a call on MCHB yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MCHB
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+60.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=80,022
Why it’s +61
+55.8 volume · 95% calls+5.0 OI · 57% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (28th pct) · quality 51 · 159 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=80,022
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MCHB
What traded today · 62%
+55.8 pts
151 calls · 8 puts · bias +89.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.0 pts
13 call OI · 10 put OI · bias +13.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $14 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MCHB
Not enough tape history on MCHB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MCHB record what it is? What’s the $14 wall?