MCHP MCHP
$75.85 · scored 02:21 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.6 composite
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 19% today
3,895 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.06% · n=8,263
What traded today · weight 62%
+3.3 pts
2,051 calls · 52.7% 1,844 puts
bias +5.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.3 pts
19,063 call OI · 68.8% 8,642 put OI
bias +37.6 × 0.38
Equals
+17.6
19% of the score comes from today’s volume, 81% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MCHP today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (81th pct) · quality 78 · 3,895 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.06% avg, n=8,263
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MCHP
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $75.85 highlighted. The $78 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,578). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MCHP Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$75.85 → $75.85
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MCHP
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.06% · n=8,263
Why it’s +18
+3.3 volume · 53% calls+14.3 OI · 69% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (81th pct) · quality 78 · 3,895 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.06% avg, n=8,263
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MCHP
What traded today · 62%
+3.3 pts
2,051 calls · 1,844 puts · bias +5.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.3 pts
19,063 call OI · 8,642 put OI · bias +37.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$75.85 → $75.85
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $78 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MCHP
Not enough tape history on MCHP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MCHP record what it is? What’s the $78 wall?