MCO MCO
$452.32 · scored 05:39 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+4.9 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 79% today
437 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.48% · n=95,098
What traded today · weight 62%
+2.1 pts
226 calls · 51.7% 211 puts
bias +3.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.7 pts
126 call OI · 53.6% 109 put OI
bias +7.2 × 0.38
Equals
+4.9
44% of the score comes from today’s volume, 56% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MCO today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (21th pct) · quality 73 · 437 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −0.48% avg, n=95,098
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MCO
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $452.32 highlighted. The $640 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 115). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
7 Oct · 4h
$452.32 → $452.32
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MCO
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+4.9 evidence
neutral · −0.48% · n=95,098
Why it’s +5
+2.1 volume · 52% calls+2.7 OI · 54% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (21th pct) · quality 73 · 437 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −0.48% avg, n=95,098
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MCO
What traded today · 62%
+2.1 pts
226 calls · 211 puts · bias +3.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.7 pts
126 call OI · 109 put OI · bias +7.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$452.32 → $452.32
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $640 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MCO
Not enough tape history on MCO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MCO record what it is? What’s the $640 wall?