MD MD
$27.06 · scored 08:06 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 50/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 50/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−60.9 composite
Evidence
50 / 100 · top 47% today
275 contracts · quality 53 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−50.3 pts
26 calls · 9.5% 249 puts
bias −81.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−10.6 pts
27 call OI · 36.0% 48 put OI
bias −28.0 × 0.38
Equals
−60.9
83% of the score comes from today’s volume, 17% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (53th pct) · quality 53 · 275 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $27.06 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 27). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MD yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MD
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−60.9 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −61
−50.3 volume · 9% calls−10.6 OI · 36% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 50 (53th pct) · quality 53 · 275 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MD
What traded today · 62%
−50.3 pts
26 calls · 249 puts · bias −81.1
What’s on the books · 38%
−10.6 pts
27 call OI · 48 put OI · bias −28.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MD
Not enough tape history on MD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MD record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?