MFA
MFA
$6.55 · +0.00% vs $6.55 close · scored 02:22 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−16.6 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 64% today
1,440 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.03% · n=3,618
What traded today · weight 62%
−36.9 pts
292 calls · 20.3%1,148 puts
bias −59.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.3 pts
2,702 call OI · 76.7%822 put OI
bias +53.3 × 0.38
Equals
−16.6
65% of the score comes from today’s volume, 35% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MFA today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 46 (36th pct) · quality 58 · 1,440 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
passThis kind of read has paidmildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.03% avg, n=3,618
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MFA
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $6.55 highlighted. The $9 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,340).
21 Oct · 4h
$6.55 → $6.55
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
MFA
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−16.6evidence 46
has paid −1.03% · n=3,618
Why it’s −17
−36.9 volume · 20% calls+20.3 OI · 77% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 46 (36th pct) · quality 58 · 1,440 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MFA
What traded today · 62%
−36.9 pts
292 calls · 1,148 puts · bias −59.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.3 pts
2,702 call OI · 822 put OI · bias +53.3
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$6.55 → $6.55
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $9 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MFA
Not enough tape history on MFA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.