MSA MSA
$181.79 · scored 08:29 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.3 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 72% today
74 contracts · quality 48 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=8,670
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.4 pts
42 calls · 56.8% 32 puts
bias +13.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.9 pts
56 call OI · 53.8% 48 put OI
bias +7.7 × 0.38
Equals
+11.3
74% of the score comes from today’s volume, 26% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MSA today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (28th pct) · quality 48 · 74 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=8,670
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MSA
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $181.79 highlighted. The $190 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 25). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MSA yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MSA
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.3 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=8,670
Why it’s +11
+8.4 volume · 57% calls+2.9 OI · 54% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (28th pct) · quality 48 · 74 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=8,670
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MSA
What traded today · 62%
+8.4 pts
42 calls · 32 puts · bias +13.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.9 pts
56 call OI · 48 put OI · bias +7.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $190 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MSA
Not enough tape history on MSA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MSA record what it is? What’s the $190 wall?