MSEX
MSEX
$53.08 · scored 06:15 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 32/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 32/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+4.8 composite
Evidence
32 / 100 · top 95% today
220 contracts · quality 42 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.70% · n=7,839
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.5 pts
141 calls · 64.1%79 puts
bias +28.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−12.7 pts
1 call OI · 33.3%2 put OI
bias −33.3 × 0.38
Equals
+4.8
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MSEX today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 32 (5th pct) · quality 42 · 220 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.70% avg, n=7,839
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on MSEX
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $53.08 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on MSEX
Proof We haven’t checked a call on MSEX yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MSEX
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+4.8evidence 32
neutral · −0.70% · n=7,839
Why it’s +5
+17.5 volume · 64% calls−12.7 OI · 33% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 32 (5th pct) · quality 42 · 220 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.70% avg, n=7,839
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on MSEX
What traded today · 62%
+17.5 pts
141 calls · 79 puts · bias +28.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−12.7 pts
1 call OI · 2 put OI · bias −33.3
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MSEX
Not enough tape history on MSEX for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.