MSI MSI
$451.73 · scored 08:07 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.9 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 74% today
866 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+39.1 pts
706 calls · 81.5% 160 puts
bias +63.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.2 pts
24 call OI · 44.4% 30 put OI
bias −11.1 × 0.38
Equals
+34.9
90% of the score comes from today’s volume, 10% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MSI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 41 (26th pct) · quality 73 · 866 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MSI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $451.73 highlighted. The $330 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 20). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MSI yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MSI
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.9 evidence 41
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +35
+39.1 volume · 82% calls−4.2 OI · 44% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 41 (26th pct) · quality 73 · 866 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MSI
What traded today · 62%
+39.1 pts
706 calls · 160 puts · bias +63.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.2 pts
24 call OI · 30 put OI · bias −11.1
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $330 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MSI
Not enough tape history on MSI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MSI record what it is? What’s the $330 wall?