MSM
MSM
$130.38 · scored 05:35 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+29.9 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 66% today
215 contracts · quality 59 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
What traded today · weight 62%
+18.7 pts
140 calls · 65.1%75 puts
bias +30.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.2 pts
33 call OI · 64.7%18 put OI
bias +29.4 × 0.38
Equals
+29.9
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MSM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 48 (34th pct) · quality 59 · 215 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on MSM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $130.38 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 13). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MSM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MSM
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+29.9evidence 48
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
Why it’s +30
+18.7 volume · 65% calls+11.2 OI · 65% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 48 (34th pct) · quality 59 · 215 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on MSM
What traded today · 62%
+18.7 pts
140 calls · 75 puts · bias +30.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.2 pts
33 call OI · 18 put OI · bias +29.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MSM
Not enough tape history on MSM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.