MTB MTB
$219.39 · scored 16:07 · stale
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−6.2 composite┆ +14.3 yesterday (−20.5)
Evidence
30 / 100 · top 98% today
6 contracts · quality 71 · stability 0.00
neutral · +2.92% · n=11,998
What traded today · weight 62%
−20.7 pts
2 calls · 33.3% 4 puts
bias −33.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.5 pts
4,941 call OI · 69.1% 2,214 put OI
bias +38.1 × 0.38
Equals
−6.2
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MTB today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 30 (2th pct) · quality 71 · 6 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +2.92% avg, n=11,998
note Too few of our calls checked 2 closed calls on MTB
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $219.39. The $260 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,061). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
2 Oct · 4h
$219.39 → $219.39
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$217.35 → $217.35
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 2 of these 2 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MTB
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−6.2 ┆ +14.3 yday evidence
neutral · +2.92% · n=11,998
Why it’s −6
−20.7 volume · 33% calls+14.5 OI · 69% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 30 (2th pct) · quality 71 · 6 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +2.92% avg, n=11,998
note Too few of our calls checked 2 closed calls on MTB
What traded today · 62%
−20.7 pts
2 calls · 4 puts · bias −33.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.5 pts
4,941 call OI · 2,214 put OI · bias +38.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 2 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$219.39 → $219.39
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$217.35 → $217.35
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MTB
Not enough tape history on MTB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MTB record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?