MTH MTH
$58.25 · +0.00% vs $58.25 close · scored 08:29 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−62.4 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 37% today
632 contracts · quality 72 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−25.1 pts
188 calls · 29.7% 444 puts
bias −40.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−37.2 pts
3 call OI · 1.0% 298 put OI
bias −98.0 × 0.38
Equals
−62.4
40% of the score comes from today’s volume, 60% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MTH today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 72 · 632 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MTH
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $58.25 highlighted. The $77.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 274). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$58.25 → $58.25
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MTH
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−62.4 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −62
−25.1 volume · 30% calls−37.2 OI · 1% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 72 · 632 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MTH
What traded today · 62%
−25.1 pts
188 calls · 444 puts · bias −40.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−37.2 pts
3 call OI · 298 put OI · bias −98.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$58.25 → $58.25
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $77.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MTH
Not enough tape history on MTH for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MTH record what it is? What’s the $77.5 wall?