MTSI
MTSI
$230.01 · +0.00% vs $230.01 close · scored 23:56 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 47/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 47/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−25.6 composite
Evidence
47 / 100 · top 61% today
594 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.48% · n=9,069
What traded today · weight 62%
−42.4 pts
94 calls · 15.8%500 puts
bias −68.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.8 pts
4,690 call OI · 72.1%1,814 put OI
bias +44.2 × 0.38
Equals
−25.6
72% of the score comes from today’s volume, 28% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MTSI today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 47 (39th pct) · quality 76 · 594 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.48% avg, n=9,069
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MTSI
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $230.01 highlighted. The $280 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 936).
05Our record on MTSI
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$230.01 → $230.01
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
MTSI
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−25.6evidence 47
has paid −0.48% · n=9,069
Why it’s −26
−42.4 volume · 16% calls+16.8 OI · 72% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 47 (39th pct) · quality 76 · 594 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MTSI
What traded today · 62%
−42.4 pts
94 calls · 500 puts · bias −68.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.8 pts
4,690 call OI · 1,814 put OI · bias +44.2
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$230.01 → $230.01
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $280 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MTSI
Not enough tape history on MTSI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.