MTW
MTW
$22.22 · +0.00% vs $22.22 close · scored 02:22 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+54.2 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 55% today
165 contracts · quality 66 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+25.2 pts
116 calls · 70.3%49 puts
bias +40.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+29.0 pts
898 call OI · 88.1%121 put OI
bias +76.3 × 0.38
Equals
+54.2
46% of the score comes from today’s volume, 54% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MTW today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 66 · 165 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MTW
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $22.22 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 342).
21 Oct · 4h
$22.22 → $22.22
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
MTW
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+54.2evidence 48
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +54
+25.2 volume · 70% calls+29.0 OI · 88% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 66 · 165 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MTW
What traded today · 62%
+25.2 pts
116 calls · 49 puts · bias +40.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+29.0 pts
898 call OI · 121 put OI · bias +76.3
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$22.22 → $22.22
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MTW
Not enough tape history on MTW for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.