MTX MTX
$63.11 · scored 08:07 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 47/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 47/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+84.5 composite
Evidence
47 / 100 · top 58% today
264 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+46.5 pts
231 calls · 87.5% 33 puts
bias +75.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
241 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+84.5
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MTX today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 47 (42th pct) · quality 47 · 264 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MTX
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $63.11 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 200). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MTX yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MTX
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+84.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +85
+46.5 volume · 88% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 47 (42th pct) · quality 47 · 264 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MTX
What traded today · 62%
+46.5 pts
231 calls · 33 puts · bias +75.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
241 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MTX
Not enough tape history on MTX for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MTX record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?