MVBF MVBF
$28.86 · scored 07:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 34/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 34/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−25.7 composite
Evidence
34 / 100 · top 90% today
38 contracts · quality 42 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−13.1 pts
15 calls · 39.5% 23 puts
bias −21.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−12.7 pts
5 call OI · 33.3% 10 put OI
bias −33.3 × 0.38
Equals
−25.7
51% of the score comes from today’s volume, 49% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MVBF today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 34 (10th pct) · quality 42 · 38 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MVBF
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $28.86 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MVBF Proof We haven’t checked a call on MVBF yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MVBF
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−25.7 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −26
−13.1 volume · 39% calls−12.7 OI · 33% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 34 (10th pct) · quality 42 · 38 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MVBF
What traded today · 62%
−13.1 pts
15 calls · 23 puts · bias −21.1
What’s on the books · 38%
−12.7 pts
5 call OI · 10 put OI · bias −33.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MVBF
Not enough tape history on MVBF for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MVBF record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?