NGVT
NGVT
$70.60 · +0.00% vs $70.60 close · scored 02:23 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 37/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 37/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+61.6 composite
Evidence
37 / 100 · top 84% today
14 contracts · quality 44 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+26.6 pts
10 calls · 71.4%4 puts
bias +42.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+35.0 pts
145 call OI · 96.0%6 put OI
bias +92.1 × 0.38
Equals
+61.6
43% of the score comes from today’s volume, 57% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NGVT today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 37 (16th pct) · quality 44 · 14 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on NGVT
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $70.60 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 88).
05Our record on NGVT
Proof
21 Oct · 4h
$70.60 → $70.60
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
NGVT
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+61.6evidence 37
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +62
+26.6 volume · 71% calls+35.0 OI · 96% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 37 (16th pct) · quality 44 · 14 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on NGVT
What traded today · 62%
+26.6 pts
10 calls · 4 puts · bias +42.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+35.0 pts
145 call OI · 6 put OI · bias +92.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$70.60 → $70.60
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about NGVT
Not enough tape history on NGVT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.