NKTR
NKTR
$38.65 · +0.00% vs $38.65 close · scored 02:31 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−27.4 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 63% today
233 contracts · quality 67 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.78% · n=7,003
What traded today · weight 62%
−42.8 pts
36 calls · 15.5%197 puts
bias −69.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+15.5 pts
11,930 call OI · 70.4%5,022 put OI
bias +40.8 × 0.38
Equals
−27.4
73% of the score comes from today’s volume, 27% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NKTR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 46 (37th pct) · quality 67 · 233 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.78% avg, n=7,003
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on NKTR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $38.65 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,184).
05Our record on NKTR
Proof
23 Oct · 4h
$38.65 → $38.65
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
NKTR
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−27.4evidence 46
has paid −0.78% · n=7,003
Why it’s −27
−42.8 volume · 15% calls+15.5 OI · 70% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 46 (37th pct) · quality 67 · 233 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on NKTR
What traded today · 62%
−42.8 pts
36 calls · 197 puts · bias −69.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+15.5 pts
11,930 call OI · 5,022 put OI · bias +40.8
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
23 Oct · 4h
$38.65 → $38.65
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about NKTR
Not enough tape history on NKTR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.