NLY
NLY
$18.27 · scored 05:11 · fresh
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+42.0 composite
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 36% today
7,037 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.51% · n=116,742
What traded today · weight 62%
+39.9 pts
5,780 calls · 82.1%1,257 puts
bias +64.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.2 pts
35,370 call OI · 52.9%31,531 put OI
bias +5.7 × 0.38
Equals
+42.0
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NLY today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 65 (64th pct) · quality 80 · 7,037 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.51% avg, n=116,742
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on NLY
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $18.27 highlighted. The $21 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 23,652). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on NLY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
NLY
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+42.0evidence 65
hasn’t paid −1.51% · n=116,742
Why it’s +42
+39.9 volume · 82% calls+2.2 OI · 53% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 65 (64th pct) · quality 80 · 7,037 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.51% avg, n=116,742
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on NLY
What traded today · 62%
+39.9 pts
5,780 calls · 1,257 puts · bias +64.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.2 pts
35,370 call OI · 31,531 put OI · bias +5.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $21 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about NLY
Not enough tape history on NLY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.