NRC NRC
$20.43 · scored 07:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−43.1 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 69% today
271 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
has paid −2.48% · n=1,776
What traded today · weight 62%
−6.6 pts
121 calls · 44.6% 150 puts
bias −10.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−36.4 pts
4 call OI · 2.0% 192 put OI
bias −95.9 × 0.38
Equals
−43.1
15% of the score comes from today’s volume, 85% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NRC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 43 (31th pct) · quality 47 · 271 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −2.48% avg, n=1,776
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on NRC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $20.43 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 187). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on NRC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NRC
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−43.1 evidence
has paid −2.48% · n=1,776
Why it’s −43
−6.6 volume · 45% calls−36.4 OI · 2% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 43 (31th pct) · quality 47 · 271 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on NRC
What traded today · 62%
−6.6 pts
121 calls · 150 puts · bias −10.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−36.4 pts
4 call OI · 192 put OI · bias −95.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NRC
Not enough tape history on NRC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NRC record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?