NVAX NVAX
$11.01 · +0.00% vs $11.01 close · scored 03:18 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 66/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.4 composite
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 9% today
5,866 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.92% · n=6,043
What traded today · weight 62%
+33.0 pts
4,493 calls · 76.6% 1,373 puts
bias +53.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.4 pts
29,098 call OI · 67.6% 13,950 put OI
bias +35.2 × 0.38
Equals
+46.4
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NVAX today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (91th pct) · quality 79 · 5,866 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=6,043
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NVAX
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $11.01 highlighted. The $11 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 10,210). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on NVAX Proof 22 Oct · 4h
$11.01 → $11.01
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NVAX
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.4 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.92% · n=6,043
Why it’s +46
+33.0 volume · 77% calls+13.4 OI · 68% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (91th pct) · quality 79 · 5,866 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=6,043
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NVAX
What traded today · 62%
+33.0 pts
4,493 calls · 1,373 puts · bias +53.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.4 pts
29,098 call OI · 13,950 put OI · bias +35.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$11.01 → $11.01
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $11 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NVAX
Not enough tape history on NVAX for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NVAX record what it is? What’s the $11 wall?