OUT
OUT
$31.18 · scored 02:02 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−45.9 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 37% today
7,779 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.56% · n=2,446
What traded today · weight 62%
−59.8 pts
139 calls · 1.8%7,640 puts
bias −96.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.9 pts
287 call OI · 68.3%133 put OI
bias +36.7 × 0.38
Equals
−45.9
81% of the score comes from today’s volume, 19% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring OUT today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 60 · 7,779 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 53
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.56% avg, n=2,446
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on OUT
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $31.18 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 251).
21 Oct · 4h
$31.18 → $31.18
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
OUT
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−45.9evidence 54
has paid −0.56% · n=2,446
Why it’s −46
−59.8 volume · 2% calls+13.9 OI · 68% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 60 · 7,779 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 53
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on OUT
What traded today · 62%
−59.8 pts
139 calls · 7,640 puts · bias −96.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.9 pts
287 call OI · 133 put OI · bias +36.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$31.18 → $31.18
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about OUT
Not enough tape history on OUT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.