PAG PAG
$195.67 · +0.00% vs $195.67 close · scored 08:29 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 59/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+19.2 composite
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 26% today
6,638 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.08% · n=83
What traded today · weight 62%
−14.1 pts
2,565 calls · 38.6% 4,073 puts
bias −22.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+33.3 pts
631 call OI · 93.8% 42 put OI
bias +87.5 × 0.38
Equals
+19.2
30% of the score comes from today’s volume, 70% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PAG today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (74th pct) · quality 77 · 6,638 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bullish · put-heavy · mid liquidity → +0.08% avg, n=83
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PAG
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $195.67 highlighted. The $230 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 510). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$195.67 → $195.67
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PAG
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+19.2 evidence
has paid +0.08% · n=83
Why it’s +19
−14.1 volume · 39% calls+33.3 OI · 94% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (74th pct) · quality 77 · 6,638 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PAG
What traded today · 62%
−14.1 pts
2,565 calls · 4,073 puts · bias −22.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+33.3 pts
631 call OI · 42 put OI · bias +87.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$195.67 → $195.67
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $230 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PAG
Not enough tape history on PAG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PAG record what it is? What’s the $230 wall?