PHM
PHM
$112.33 · scored 05:36 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 51/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 51/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−30.8 composite
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 61% today
2,312 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−32.2 pts
556 calls · 24.0%1,756 puts
bias −51.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.4 pts
155 call OI · 51.8%144 put OI
bias +3.7 × 0.38
Equals
−30.8
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PHM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 51 (39th pct) · quality 75 · 2,312 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=61,233
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on PHM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $112.33 highlighted. The $145 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 142). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on PHM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
PHM
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−30.8evidence 51
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
Why it’s −31
−32.2 volume · 24% calls+1.4 OI · 52% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 51 (39th pct) · quality 75 · 2,312 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on PHM
What traded today · 62%
−32.2 pts
556 calls · 1,756 puts · bias −51.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.4 pts
155 call OI · 144 put OI · bias +3.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $145 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about PHM
Not enough tape history on PHM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.