PRG PRG
$30.58 · scored 08:30 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−35.5 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 70% today
168 contracts · quality 54 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
What traded today · weight 62%
−32.5 pts
40 calls · 23.8% 128 puts
bias −52.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.0 pts
23 call OI · 46.0% 27 put OI
bias −8.0 × 0.38
Equals
−35.5
91% of the score comes from today’s volume, 9% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PRG today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 43 (30th pct) · quality 54 · 168 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on PRG
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $30.58 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on PRG yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PRG
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−35.5 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
Why it’s −36
−32.5 volume · 24% calls−3.0 OI · 46% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 43 (30th pct) · quality 54 · 168 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on PRG
What traded today · 62%
−32.5 pts
40 calls · 128 puts · bias −52.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.0 pts
23 call OI · 27 put OI · bias −8.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PRG
Not enough tape history on PRG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PRG record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?