RAIL RAIL
$4.23 · +0.00% vs $4.23 close · scored 05:32 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+57.4 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 62% today
122 contracts · quality 48 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.78% · n=38,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+37.6 pts
98 calls · 80.3% 24 puts
bias +60.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+19.8 pts
19 call OI · 76.0% 6 put OI
bias +52.0 × 0.38
Equals
+57.4
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RAIL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 46 (38th pct) · quality 48 · 122 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.78% avg, n=38,227
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on RAIL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.23 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 18).
05 Our record on RAIL Proof 26 Oct · 4h
$4.23 → $4.23
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RAIL
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+57.4 evidence
has paid +0.78% · n=38,227
Why it’s +57
+37.6 volume · 80% calls+19.8 OI · 76% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 46 (38th pct) · quality 48 · 122 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on RAIL
What traded today · 62%
+37.6 pts
98 calls · 24 puts · bias +60.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+19.8 pts
19 call OI · 6 put OI · bias +52.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
26 Oct · 4h
$4.23 → $4.23
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RAIL
Not enough tape history on RAIL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RAIL record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?