RAL RAL
$66.95 · scored 01:52 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 59/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+59.6 composite
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 26% today
454 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=73,379
What traded today · weight 62%
+49.7 pts
409 calls · 90.1% 45 puts
bias +80.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.9 pts
5,881 call OI · 63.0% 3,453 put OI
bias +26.0 × 0.38
Equals
+59.6
83% of the score comes from today’s volume, 17% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RAL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (74th pct) · quality 60 · 454 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=73,379
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on RAL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $66.95 highlighted. The $75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,136).
21 Oct · 4h
$66.95 → $66.95
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RAL
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+59.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=73,379
Why it’s +60
+49.7 volume · 90% calls+9.9 OI · 63% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (74th pct) · quality 60 · 454 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=73,379
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on RAL
What traded today · 62%
+49.7 pts
409 calls · 45 puts · bias +80.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.9 pts
5,881 call OI · 3,453 put OI · bias +26.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$66.95 → $66.95
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RAL
Not enough tape history on RAL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RAL record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?