RCL RCL
$280.67 · scored 08:06 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 64/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+19.6 composite
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 24% today
1,475 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.05% · n=7,690
What traded today · weight 62%
+15.2 pts
918 calls · 62.2% 557 puts
bias +24.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+4.4 pts
9,527 call OI · 55.8% 7,550 put OI
bias +11.6 × 0.38
Equals
+19.6
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RCL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (76th pct) · quality 77 · 1,475 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.05% avg, n=7,690
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RCL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $280.67 highlighted. The $260 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,449). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on RCL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RCL
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+19.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.05% · n=7,690
Why it’s +20
+15.2 volume · 62% calls+4.4 OI · 56% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (76th pct) · quality 77 · 1,475 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.05% avg, n=7,690
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RCL
What traded today · 62%
+15.2 pts
918 calls · 557 puts · bias +24.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+4.4 pts
9,527 call OI · 7,550 put OI · bias +11.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RCL
Not enough tape history on RCL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RCL record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?