RJF RJF
$156.76 · scored 08:30 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 53/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 53/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−32.0 composite
Evidence
53 / 100 · top 47% today
1,640 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
What traded today · weight 62%
−19.0 pts
569 calls · 34.7% 1,071 puts
bias −30.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−13.0 pts
119 call OI · 32.9% 243 put OI
bias −34.3 × 0.38
Equals
−32.0
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RJF today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (53th pct) · quality 75 · 1,640 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RJF
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $156.76 highlighted. The $125 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 200). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on RJF yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RJF
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−32.0 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
Why it’s −32
−19.0 volume · 35% calls−13.0 OI · 33% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (53th pct) · quality 75 · 1,640 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RJF
What traded today · 62%
−19.0 pts
569 calls · 1,071 puts · bias −30.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−13.0 pts
119 call OI · 243 put OI · bias −34.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $125 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RJF
Not enough tape history on RJF for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RJF record what it is? What’s the $125 wall?