RMD RMD
$235.29 · scored 08:09 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.3 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 63% today
869 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
What traded today · weight 62%
+28.9 pts
637 calls · 73.3% 232 puts
bias +46.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−10.6 pts
13 call OI · 36.1% 23 put OI
bias −27.8 × 0.38
Equals
+18.3
73% of the score comes from today’s volume, 27% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RMD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (37th pct) · quality 73 · 869 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RMD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $235.29 highlighted. The $125 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on RMD yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RMD
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.3 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
Why it’s +18
+28.9 volume · 73% calls−10.6 OI · 36% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (37th pct) · quality 73 · 869 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RMD
What traded today · 62%
+28.9 pts
637 calls · 232 puts · bias +46.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−10.6 pts
13 call OI · 23 put OI · bias −27.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $125 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RMD
Not enough tape history on RMD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RMD record what it is? What’s the $125 wall?