SMA
SMA
$34.59 · scored 01:53 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+90.1 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 55% today
70 contracts · quality 44 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=73,379
What traded today · weight 62%
+53.1 pts
65 calls · 92.9%5 puts
bias +85.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+36.9 pts
480 call OI · 98.6%7 put OI
bias +97.1 × 0.38
Equals
+90.1
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SMA today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 44 · 70 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=73,379
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on SMA
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $34.59 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 413).
21 Oct · 4h
$34.59 → $34.59
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
SMA
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+90.1evidence 48
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=73,379
Why it’s +90
+53.1 volume · 93% calls+36.9 OI · 99% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 44 · 70 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=73,379
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on SMA
What traded today · 62%
+53.1 pts
65 calls · 5 puts · bias +85.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+36.9 pts
480 call OI · 7 put OI · bias +97.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$34.59 → $34.59
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about SMA
Not enough tape history on SMA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.