SMG

$55.86 · scored 01:53 · stale

Decision brief

BULLISH · 60/100

What changed

No prior comparable read.

Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.

What would change the view

composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100

For the read

options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read

Against / uncertainty

signal stability is low

The read

Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.

−100 bearish0bullish +100

+24.7 composite

Evidence

60 / 100 · top 23% today

621 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00

hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=8,598

Why it’s +25

Method

What traded today · weight 62%

+8.1 pts

351 calls · 56.5%270 puts

bias +13.0 × 0.62

What’s on the books · weight 38%

+16.6 pts

6,683 call OI · 71.9%2,612 put OI

bias +43.8 × 0.38

Equals

+24.7

33% of the score comes from today’s volume, 67% from open interest. Disagree with either? See the method.

What changed: 1 days of tape against price

14d 43d 90d 365d · Reader

tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves

NO HISTORY YET

We started scoring SMG today.

There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.

Create a free account to follow it

Should you trust it?

note

Some evidence, not a lot

confidence 60 (77th pct) · quality 76 · 621 contracts

note

Jumpy

0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0

against

This kind of read hasn’t paid

mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=8,598

note

Too few of our calls checked

1 closed call on SMG

Where the positions sit

calls tradedstrikeputs traded

$77.5

$75

$72.5

$70

$67.5

$65

$62.5

$60

$57.5

$55

$52.5

$50

$47.5

$45

$42.5

$40

$37.5

$35

$32.5

Spot $55.86 highlighted. The $130 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,670).

Our record on SMG

Proof

hit rate · 1 closed

—

payoff

+0.00%

avg return

21 Oct · 4h

$55.86 → $55.86

+0.00%flat

One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.

Catalysts & context

EPS surprise · last 4 quarters

No reported quarters stored yet.

Street —Next report — P/E —Beta — 52w —IV rank —