SMHI SMHI
$8.24 · scored 07:58 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 47/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 47/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−47.7 composite
Evidence
47 / 100 · top 58% today
255 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−38.2 pts
49 calls · 19.2% 206 puts
bias −61.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−9.5 pts
3 call OI · 37.5% 5 put OI
bias −25.0 × 0.38
Equals
−47.7
80% of the score comes from today’s volume, 20% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SMHI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 47 (42th pct) · quality 43 · 255 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SMHI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $8.24 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SMHI Proof We haven’t checked a call on SMHI yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
SMHI
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−47.7 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −48
−38.2 volume · 19% calls−9.5 OI · 38% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 47 (42th pct) · quality 43 · 255 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SMHI
What traded today · 62%
−38.2 pts
49 calls · 206 puts · bias −61.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−9.5 pts
3 call OI · 5 put OI · bias −25.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SMHI
Not enough tape history on SMHI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our SMHI record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?