SMPL SMPL
$10.43 · scored 08:07 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 37/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 37/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.5 composite
Evidence
37 / 100 · top 82% today
2 contracts · quality 37 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.45% · n=11,074
What traded today · weight 62%
+0.0 pts
1 calls · 50.0% 1 puts
bias +0.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.5 pts
89 call OI · 53.3% 78 put OI
bias +6.6 × 0.38
Equals
+2.5
0% of the score comes from today’s volume, 100% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SMPL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 37 (18th pct) · quality 37 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.45% avg, n=11,074
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SMPL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.43 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 83). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SMPL Proof We haven’t checked a call on SMPL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
SMPL
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.5 evidence
neutral · +0.45% · n=11,074
Why it’s +3
+0.0 volume · 50% calls+2.5 OI · 53% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 37 (18th pct) · quality 37 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.45% avg, n=11,074
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SMPL
What traded today · 62%
+0.0 pts
1 calls · 1 puts · bias +0.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.5 pts
89 call OI · 78 put OI · bias +6.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SMPL
Not enough tape history on SMPL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our SMPL record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?