SUPN SUPN
$41.23 · +0.00% vs $41.23 close · scored 06:53 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−84.3 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 72% today
6 contracts · quality 55 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.64% · n=11,839
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0% 6 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−22.3 pts
367 call OI · 20.7% 1,406 put OI
bias −58.6 × 0.38
Equals
−84.3
74% of the score comes from today’s volume, 26% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SUPN today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 43 (28th pct) · quality 55 · 6 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.64% avg, n=11,839
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on SUPN
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $41.23 highlighted. The $55 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 764).
05 Our record on SUPN Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$41.23 → $41.23
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
SUPN
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−84.3 evidence
has paid −0.64% · n=11,839
Why it’s −84
−62.0 volume · 0% calls−22.3 OI · 21% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 43 (28th pct) · quality 55 · 6 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on SUPN
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 6 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−22.3 pts
367 call OI · 1,406 put OI · bias −58.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$41.23 → $41.23
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $55 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SUPN
Not enough tape history on SUPN for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our SUPN record what it is? What’s the $55 wall?