SW SW
$40.75 · scored 08:40 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−17.0 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 69% today
314 contracts · quality 61 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.45% · n=89
What traded today · weight 62%
+14.2 pts
193 calls · 61.5% 121 puts
bias +22.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−31.2 pts
8 call OI · 9.0% 81 put OI
bias −82.0 × 0.38
Equals
−17.0
31% of the score comes from today’s volume, 69% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SW today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 43 (31th pct) · quality 61 · 314 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.45% avg, n=89
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SW
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $40.75 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 72). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on SW yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
SW
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−17.0 evidence
has paid −0.45% · n=89
Why it’s −17
+14.2 volume · 61% calls−31.2 OI · 9% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 43 (31th pct) · quality 61 · 314 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SW
What traded today · 62%
+14.2 pts
193 calls · 121 puts · bias +22.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−31.2 pts
8 call OI · 81 put OI · bias −82.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SW
Not enough tape history on SW for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our SW record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?