TCBI TCBI
$92.97 · scored 05:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−56.5 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 77% today
366 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=60,767
What traded today · weight 62%
−52.5 pts
28 calls · 7.7% 338 puts
bias −84.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.0 pts
34 call OI · 44.7% 42 put OI
bias −10.5 × 0.38
Equals
−56.5
93% of the score comes from today’s volume, 7% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TCBI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 46 (23th pct) · quality 58 · 366 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=60,767
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on TCBI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $92.97 highlighted. The $115 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 22). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on TCBI Proof 7 Oct · 4h
$92.97 → $92.97
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
TCBI
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−56.5 evidence
has paid −0.20% · n=60,767
Why it’s −57
−52.5 volume · 8% calls−4.0 OI · 45% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 46 (23th pct) · quality 58 · 366 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on TCBI
What traded today · 62%
−52.5 pts
28 calls · 338 puts · bias −84.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.0 pts
34 call OI · 42 put OI · bias −10.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$92.97 → $92.97
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TCBI
Not enough tape history on TCBI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our TCBI record what it is? What’s the $115 wall?