TFSL TFSL
$16.18 · scored 08:01 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 35/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 35/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+12.1 composite
Evidence
35 / 100 · top 86% today
135 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
What traded today · weight 62%
+48.2 pts
120 calls · 88.9% 15 puts
bias +77.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−36.1 pts
1 call OI · 2.4% 40 put OI
bias −95.1 × 0.38
Equals
+12.1
57% of the score comes from today’s volume, 43% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TFSL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 35 (14th pct) · quality 50 · 135 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TFSL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $16.18 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 41). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on TFSL Proof We haven’t checked a call on TFSL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
TFSL
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+12.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
Why it’s +12
+48.2 volume · 89% calls−36.1 OI · 2% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 35 (14th pct) · quality 50 · 135 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TFSL
What traded today · 62%
+48.2 pts
120 calls · 15 puts · bias +77.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−36.1 pts
1 call OI · 40 put OI · bias −95.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TFSL
Not enough tape history on TFSL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our TFSL record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?