TPB
TPB
$61.59 · scored 02:51 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+69.0 composite
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 36% today
872 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
What traded today · weight 62%
+48.5 pts
777 calls · 89.1%95 puts
bias +78.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.5 pts
3,654 call OI · 76.9%1,096 put OI
bias +53.9 × 0.38
Equals
+69.0
70% of the score comes from today’s volume, 30% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TPB today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 55 (64th pct) · quality 76 · 872 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on TPB
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $61.59 highlighted. The $70 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,345).
We haven’t checked a call on TPB yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
TPB
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+69.0evidence 55
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
Why it’s +69
+48.5 volume · 89% calls+20.5 OI · 77% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 55 (64th pct) · quality 76 · 872 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on TPB
What traded today · 62%
+48.5 pts
777 calls · 95 puts · bias +78.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.5 pts
3,654 call OI · 1,096 put OI · bias +53.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $70 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about TPB
Not enough tape history on TPB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.