TWLO TWLO
$271.12 · scored 08:10 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 58/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−52.7 composite
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 29% today
3,054 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−15.3 pts
1,150 calls · 37.7% 1,904 puts
bias −24.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−37.4 pts
1 call OI · 0.8% 129 put OI
bias −98.5 × 0.38
Equals
−52.7
29% of the score comes from today’s volume, 71% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TWLO today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (71th pct) · quality 75 · 3,054 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TWLO
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $271.12 highlighted. The $145 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 52). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on TWLO Proof We haven’t checked a call on TWLO yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
TWLO
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−52.7 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −53
−15.3 volume · 38% calls−37.4 OI · 1% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (71th pct) · quality 75 · 3,054 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TWLO
What traded today · 62%
−15.3 pts
1,150 calls · 1,904 puts · bias −24.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−37.4 pts
1 call OI · 129 put OI · bias −98.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $145 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TWLO
Not enough tape history on TWLO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our TWLO record what it is? What’s the $145 wall?