UFPI UFPI
$75.85 · scored 10:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 35/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 35/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.9 composite
Evidence
35 / 100 · top 85% today
357 contracts · quality 57 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
What traded today · weight 62%
−46.4 pts
45 calls · 12.6% 312 puts
bias −74.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.4 pts
66 call OI · 61.1% 42 put OI
bias +22.2 × 0.38
Equals
−37.9
85% of the score comes from today’s volume, 15% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring UFPI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 35 (15th pct) · quality 57 · 357 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UFPI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $75.85 highlighted. The $45 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 32). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on UFPI Proof We haven’t checked a call on UFPI yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
UFPI
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.9 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
Why it’s −38
−46.4 volume · 13% calls+8.4 OI · 61% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 35 (15th pct) · quality 57 · 357 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UFPI
What traded today · 62%
−46.4 pts
45 calls · 312 puts · bias −74.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.4 pts
66 call OI · 42 put OI · bias +22.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $45 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about UFPI
Not enough tape history on UFPI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our UFPI record what it is? What’s the $45 wall?