UMBF UMBF
$131.27 · scored 08:08 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 36/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 36/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+62.2 composite
Evidence
36 / 100 · top 84% today
13 contracts · quality 26 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
13 calls · 100.0% 0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.2 pts
505 call OI · 50.2% 501 put OI
bias +0.4 × 0.38
Equals
+62.2
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring UMBF today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 36 (16th pct) · quality 26 · 13 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UMBF
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $131.27 highlighted. The $145 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 747). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on UMBF Proof We haven’t checked a call on UMBF yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
UMBF
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+62.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +62
+62.0 volume · 100% calls+0.2 OI · 50% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 36 (16th pct) · quality 26 · 13 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UMBF
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
13 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.2 pts
505 call OI · 501 put OI · bias +0.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $145 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about UMBF
Not enough tape history on UMBF for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our UMBF record what it is? What’s the $145 wall?