URGN
URGN
$35.48 · +0.00% vs $35.48 close · scored 02:55 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 51/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 51/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+82.4 composite
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 47% today
75 contracts · quality 62 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+58.7 pts
73 calls · 97.3%2 puts
bias +94.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+23.7 pts
1,967 call OI · 81.2%454 put OI
bias +62.5 × 0.38
Equals
+82.4
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring URGN today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 51 (53th pct) · quality 62 · 75 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked2 closed calls on URGN
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $35.48 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 916).
05Our record on URGN
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$35.48 → $35.48
+0.00%flat
22 Oct · 4h
$35.48 → $35.48
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 2 of these 2 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
URGN
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+82.4evidence 51
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +82
+58.7 volume · 97% calls+23.7 OI · 81% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 51 (53th pct) · quality 62 · 75 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked
2 closed calls on URGN
What traded today · 62%
+58.7 pts
73 calls · 2 puts · bias +94.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+23.7 pts
1,967 call OI · 454 put OI · bias +62.5
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 2 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$35.48 → $35.48
+0.00%flat
22 Oct · 4h
$35.48 → $35.48
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about URGN
Not enough tape history on URGN for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.