VEL
VEL
$14.54 · scored 13:42 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−39.9 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 33% today
762 contracts · quality 51 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−20.8 pts
253 calls · 33.2%509 puts
bias −33.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−19.0 pts
2,767 call OI · 25.0%8,323 put OI
bias −50.1 × 0.38
Equals
−39.9
52% of the score comes from today’s volume, 48% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring VEL today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 51 · 762 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on VEL
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $14.54 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,192). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on VEL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
VEL
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−39.9evidence 56
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −40
−20.8 volume · 33% calls−19.0 OI · 25% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 51 · 762 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on VEL
What traded today · 62%
−20.8 pts
253 calls · 509 puts · bias −33.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−19.0 pts
2,767 call OI · 8,323 put OI · bias −50.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about VEL
Not enough tape history on VEL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.