VGZ VGZ
$2.59 · scored 10:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 37/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 37/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.7 composite
Evidence
37 / 100 · top 81% today
113 contracts · quality 45 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −7.54% · n=1,217
What traded today · weight 62%
−20.3 pts
38 calls · 33.6% 75 puts
bias −32.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
16 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+17.7
35% of the score comes from today’s volume, 65% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring VGZ today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 37 (19th pct) · quality 45 · 113 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −7.54% avg, n=1,217
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on VGZ
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2.59 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 11). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on VGZ yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
VGZ
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −7.54% · n=1,217
Why it’s +18
−20.3 volume · 34% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 37 (19th pct) · quality 45 · 113 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −7.54% avg, n=1,217
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on VGZ
What traded today · 62%
−20.3 pts
38 calls · 75 puts · bias −32.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
16 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VGZ
Not enough tape history on VGZ for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our VGZ record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?