XPO XPO
$185.10 · scored 08:11 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−54.1 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 43% today
3,954 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−53.7 pts
265 calls · 6.7% 3,689 puts
bias −86.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.4 pts
91 call OI · 49.5% 93 put OI
bias −1.1 × 0.38
Equals
−54.1
99% of the score comes from today’s volume, 1% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring XPO today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (57th pct) · quality 76 · 3,954 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on XPO
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $185.10 highlighted. The $185 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 35). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on XPO yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
XPO
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−54.1 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −54
−53.7 volume · 7% calls−0.4 OI · 49% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (57th pct) · quality 76 · 3,954 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on XPO
What traded today · 62%
−53.7 pts
265 calls · 3,689 puts · bias −86.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.4 pts
91 call OI · 93 put OI · bias −1.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $185 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about XPO
Not enough tape history on XPO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our XPO record what it is? What’s the $185 wall?