Track record
Every score FlowDesk has ever produced is recorded as a prediction the moment it's made, and checked against the real price move once the horizon elapses — automatically, by the same cron job that scores every symbol. Nothing on this page is cherry-picked, hand-selected, or removed after the fact. "Hit" means the direction of the actual move matched the sign of the composite score, with moves under 0.05% not counted either way (too small to call a direction).
2026-08-22: found and fixed a bug that understated every number on this page up to this date. Predictions were sometimes recorded using a stale, recycled spot price (from a fallback path that keeps the board populated when a live options-chain fetch fails) instead of a fresh one — when that stale price hadn't been refreshed by the time the horizon elapsed, the "move" compared to itself, computed to ~0%, and silently resolved as a miss regardless of which way the composite pointed. That's a measurement bug, not evidence the model was usually wrong — but consistent with never removing data after the fact, the skewed historical numbers stay on this page rather than being reset or hidden. Predictions recorded after this fix don't have this problem; accuracy going forward reflects real outcomes only.
Hit rate by composite band
If the composite score is meaningful, stronger readings (further from zero) should hit more often than weak ones. This is the same data broken out by how strong the call was — the honest test of whether conviction tracks with the score.
Not enough checked predictions yet at this horizon/window to show a breakdown.
Leaderboard — most reliable symbols
Same data, grouped by symbol instead of by band: which names has FlowDesk called correctly most often over the last 30 days, requiring at least 5 checked predictions before a symbol counts (a 100% hit rate on 1 lucky call means nothing).
No symbol has 5+ checked predictions yet at this horizon/window.
Methodology: a prediction is recorded the moment a symbol is scored, using that moment's composite reading and spot price. It's checked once the chosen horizon has elapsed, comparing the spot price then vs. now. A move under 0.05% is treated as flat and doesn't count as a hit or a miss either way. Predictions still waiting on their horizon to elapse are counted in "predictions made" but not yet in "hit rate" or "predictions checked."