ABNB
ABNB
$173.63 · +0.00% vs $173.63 close · scored 05:49 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 64/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−29.9 composite
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 12% today
9,819 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.03% · n=1,442
What traded today · weight 62%
−28.3 pts
2,666 calls · 27.2%7,153 puts
bias −45.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−1.6 pts
104,347 call OI · 47.9%113,489 put OI
bias −4.2 × 0.38
Equals
−29.9
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ABNB today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 64 (88th pct) · quality 81 · 9,819 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.03% avg, n=1,442
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ABNB
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $173.63 highlighted. The $140 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15,988). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on ABNB
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$173.63 → $173.63
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ABNB
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−29.9evidence 64
has paid −1.03% · n=1,442
Why it’s −30
−28.3 volume · 27% calls−1.6 OI · 48% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 64 (88th pct) · quality 81 · 9,819 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ABNB
What traded today · 62%
−28.3 pts
2,666 calls · 7,153 puts · bias −45.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−1.6 pts
104,347 call OI · 113,489 put OI · bias −4.2
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$173.63 → $173.63
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $140 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ABNB
Not enough tape history on ABNB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.