ALM
ALM
$8.77 · +0.00% vs $8.77 close · scored 19:34 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−12.6 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 33% today
4,039 contracts · quality 71 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.35% · n=4,096
What traded today · weight 62%
−29.6 pts
1,055 calls · 26.1%2,984 puts
bias −47.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+17.1 pts
18,328 call OI · 72.4%6,970 put OI
bias +44.9 × 0.38
Equals
−12.6
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ALM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 71 · 4,039 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 74
passThis kind of read has paidmildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.35% avg, n=4,096
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ALM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $8.77 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,486).
19 Oct · 4h
$8.77 → $8.77
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ALM
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−12.6evidence 56
has paid −1.35% · n=4,096
Why it’s −13
−29.6 volume · 26% calls+17.1 OI · 72% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 71 · 4,039 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 74
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ALM
What traded today · 62%
−29.6 pts
1,055 calls · 2,984 puts · bias −47.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+17.1 pts
18,328 call OI · 6,970 put OI · bias +44.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
19 Oct · 4h
$8.77 → $8.77
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ALM
Not enough tape history on ALM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.